What loves and hates Donald Trump

The impeachment process did not harm Trump - the popularity of the US president in comparison

For years now, American President Trump has been buffeted by a cold wind, but he is getting away with impeachment proceedings. Above all, he has his party behind him. An overview of opinion in the USA.

The American president can look back on a flourishing economy, but at the same time he is grappling with one scandal after another. The impeachment as a result of the Ukraine affair and the previous investigations into Russia's interference in the last presidential election, but also the unusual number of people leaving the government, put the president under pressure. It does only limited damage to its popularity. New opinion polls even suggest that Trump's popularity improved during the Senate impeachment process. In a poll published on February 4, the polling institute Gallup determined the highest value it could measure during Trump's entire tenure: 49 percent. Accordingly, the proportion of Americans who reject Trump's administration is no longer significant at 50 percent.

Other polling companies have also seen an increase in Trump's popularity, albeit to a lesser extent. In the weighted average of the latest polls determined by the data analysis platform Five Thirty Eight, Trump currently only comes to just under 44 percent.

Since the Second World War, the polling institute Gallup has regularly been surveying the popularity of the American president. During this period, not a single head of state was more unpopular than Donald Trump, based on the average popularity ratings over the course of the first term in office. Trump has come to an average of only 40 percent so far, 6 percentage points less than the second worst-ranked president, Jimmy Carter. Trump is even 30 percentage points behind his predecessors Dwight Eisenhower and John F. Kennedy. They benefited from the fact that the US was much less polarized then than it is today.

The comparison looks different if you only look at the popularity after three years. Then it is a snapshot that is shaped, among other things, by the failed impeachment proceedings against Trump and the tough military crackdown on Iran. The current president is still doing disadvantageously at 49 percent in the current phase, but no longer as clearly. At the time of his presidency, Barack Obama only had a popularity rating of 45 percent and was later reelected.

However, the 49 percent approval of Trump measured by Gallup should be regarded as a statistical outlier for the time being. In a weighted average of the latest polls from all renowned polling institutes, Trump currently only achieves a value of 44 percent.

Despite the low overall popularity rating, President Trump can count on the Republican base: three years after taking office, 94 percent of Republican voters approve of his course, according to Gallup. This contrasts with an approval rate of only 7 percent among Democrats. It is not a new phenomenon that the supporters of the two major parties rate each president differently. However, no president had such a low level of support from the opposition party on average over his entire term of office.

Republicans are the only segment of the electorate in which Trump receives clear approval for his work three years after his election. On average, women, non-whites and younger people in particular see Trump as very negative. Men and white Americans support Trump with a narrow majority.

Trump also faces a lot of skepticism internationally. In most countries, confidence in the President of the United States has declined significantly since Trump took office from Obama. In only two countries, Israel and Russia, the population saw the new president in 2019 more positively than his predecessor.

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